Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 5, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Yanki Erel		Petr Nesterov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.13	1.74
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.95	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanki Erel
47.9%

Petr Nesterov
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanki Erel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Yanki Erel - Petr Nesterov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erel is ranked ATP: 397. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 441.

Erel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nesterov is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Erel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Yanki Erel - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Yanki Erel - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	Turriziani Alvarez A. Retired ✺
03.04.26	Yannik Kelm - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Daniel Verbeek - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Yanki Erel - Marek Gengel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 W?LW?
- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Petr Nesterov - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Luca Potenza - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Volodymyr Iakubenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.12.23	Yanki Erel - Petr Nesterov	2:1

Yanki Erel - Petr Nesterov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide