Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 40, hard

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Yanki Erel		Michele Ribecai

	1	2
	2.19	1.6
	2.18	1.62	Watch
	2.12	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.88)	1.61 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanki Erel
42.7%

Michele Ribecai
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanki Erel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanki Erel's form might have worsened.

Michele Ribecai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michele Ribecai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Yanki Erel - Michele Ribecai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erel is ranked ATP: 403. Ribecai is ranked ATP: 459.

Erel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ribecai is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Erel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Yanki Erel - Cesar Bouchelaghem	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Yanki Erel - Rocco Piatti	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Yanki Erel - Yannik Kelm	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Connor Thomson - Yanki Erel	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Yanki Erel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWWL?
- Michele Ribecai
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Igor Kudriashov	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Mert Alkaya - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Amir Omarkhanov - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Samir Hamza Reguig - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL

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