Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Michele Ribecai		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.92	1.42
	2.77	1.38	Watch
	2.87	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.8)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michele Ribecai
32.4%

Dusan Lajovic
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michele Ribecai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michele Ribecai than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Michele Ribecai - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ribecai will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Lajovic will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Lajovic (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Ribecai (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dusan Lajovic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ribecai (votes: 1 - 20%). Lajovic (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ribecai is ranked ATP: 469. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 121.

Ribecai is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lajovic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lajovic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michele Ribecai
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Michael Vrbensky - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.10.25	Daniel Michalski - Michele Ribecai	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Gabriele Piraino - Michele Ribecai	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Michele Ribecai - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLWW
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Henri Squire - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Tiago Pereira - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Dusan Lajovic - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

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