Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 5, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Petr Nesterov		Eliakim Coulibaly

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
50.1%

Eliakim Coulibaly
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Eliakim Coulibaly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 441. Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 280.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Coulibaly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Eliakim Coulibaly - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
23.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Luca Potenza - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Volodymyr Iakubenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Tom Gentzsch - Petr Nesterov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW
- Eliakim Coulibaly
ITF Tournaments
04.04.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Michel Hopp	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Mustafa Ege Sik	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Alexander Vasilev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

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