Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.29	3.5
	1.29	3.6
	1.28	3.77
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.55)	3.58 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
73.7%

Arthur Cazaux
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yannick Hanfmann's performance.

Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Cazaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yannick Hanfmann that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Cazaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Yannick Hanfmann - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Cazaux will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Cazaux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hanfmann is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
20.04.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Thiago Monteiro - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
09.04.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Tomas Machac - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
16.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.23	Dino Prizmic - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
11.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW

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