Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Arthur Cazaux		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.18	4.2	Watch
	1.21	4.93
	1.36	2.98	Watch
	1.21	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.47)	4.33 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
77.9%

Pedro Martinez Portero
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Arthur Cazaux - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Cazaux (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Cazaux (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Martinez Portero (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pedro Martinez Portero will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cazaux (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Martinez Portero (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cazaux is ranked ATP: 80. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 70.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cazaux is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Beijing
27.09.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Quentin Halys - Arthur Cazaux	Halys Q. retired ✺
23.09.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LW?WL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Marko Topo	Martinez P. retired ✺
02.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	David Goffin - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?LLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1

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