Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SPLIT (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 April 2023, Tuesday


	Arthur Cazaux		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.41	2.85
	1.42	2.95
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.31	3.22	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.6)	2.81 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
66.7%

Mattia Bellucci
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mattia Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattia Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Arthur Cazaux - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bellucci will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cazaux: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Cazaux is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bellucci is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cazaux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cazaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cazaux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Challenger
10.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Arthur Cazaux - Vito Tonejc	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Marek Gengel - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Miami
20.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
13.03.23	Murphy Cassone - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Radu Albot - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.12.20	Mattia Bellucci - Arthur Cazaux	0:2

Arthur Cazaux - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide