Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Yaojie Zeng		Nikolai Barsukov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.80	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.79	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaojie Zeng
51.1%

Nikolai Barsukov
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaojie Zeng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Nikolai Barsukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yaojie Zeng than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikolai Barsukov than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Yaojie Zeng - Nikolai Barsukov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zeng is ranked ATP: 1009., and Barsukov is ranked ATP: 651..

Recent results have been tough for Zeng (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Barsukov have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Barsukov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Yaojie Zeng - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaojie Zeng
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Michael Zheng - Yaojie Zeng	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.09.26	Semen Pankin - Yaojie Zeng	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Yaojie Zeng - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Omar Jasika - Yaojie Zeng	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Aoran Wang - Yaojie Zeng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Nikolai Barsukov
ITF Tournaments
29.09.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Taiyo Yamanaka	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Seon Yong Han - Nikolai Barsukov	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Nikolai Barsukov - Nino Ehrenschneider	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW

Yaojie Zeng - Nikolai Barsukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide