Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Yaroslav Demin		Cyril Vandermeersch

	1	2
	2.66	1.46
	3.07	1.31	Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.15)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin
33.6%

Cyril Vandermeersch
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cyril Vandermeersch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yaroslav Demin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cyril Vandermeersch than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cyril Vandermeersch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yaroslav Demin - Cyril Vandermeersch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Demin is ranked ATP: 1027. Vandermeersch is ranked ATP: 573.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Demin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vandermeersch is a strong favorite.

We predict that Vandermeersch will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Demin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Yaroslav Demin - Maximilian Borisov	Borisov M. retired ✺
26.11.25	Abel Forger - Yaroslav Demin	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Yaroslav Demin - Carles Hernandez	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Yaroslav Demin - Luka Talan Lopatic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 ?WLWW
- Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Aleksander Chayka - Cyril Vandermeersch	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Alejandro Juan Mano - Cyril Vandermeersch	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Abel Forger	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Pieter De Lange	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Cyril Vandermeersch - Yaroslav Demin	2:0

Yaroslav Demin - Cyril Vandermeersch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide