Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Chitgar A. (Aus)


	Yaroslav Demin		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	4.33	1.2	Watch
	4	1.2
	4.2	1.19	Watch
	4.49	1.21
	4.49	1.22
	4	1.22	Watch
	4.4	1.19	Watch
	4.1	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (2.85)	1.2 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yaroslav Demin
22%

Vilius Gaubas
78%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yaroslav Demin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yaroslav Demin's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Yaroslav Demin - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Demin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Gaubas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Gaubas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Gaubas is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
18.06.24	Yaroslav Demin - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Yaroslav Demin - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.04.24	Iliyan Radulov - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Yaroslav Demin - Jonathan Mridha	2:0 ✺
11.04.24	Yaroslav Demin - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Michael Geerts - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
29.05.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
27.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Franco Roncadelli	2:1 ✺
22.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL

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