Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Alastair Gray

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	2.31	1.65
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.49)	1.65 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
43.5%

Alastair Gray
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yasutaka Uchiyama's performance.

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alastair Gray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Alastair Gray Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Gray will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 298. Gray is ranked ATP: 324.

Uchiyama is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gray is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Uchiyama may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Gray will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchiyama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Yuta Shimizu - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Uchiyama Y. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Marat Sharipov - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Alastair Gray - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Uchiyama Y. Retired ✺
31.03.26	Yi Zhou - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
28.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 ?L??L
- Alastair Gray
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Alastair Gray - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Alastair Gray - Luca Castelnuovo	Castelnuovo L. Retired ✺
23.04.26	Alastair Gray - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Alastair Gray - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Alastair Gray - Xiaofei Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Alastair Gray - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Uchiyama Y. Retired

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Alastair Gray: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide