Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Yi Zhou		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.97
	1.88	1.96
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.25)	1.93 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
51.8%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yi Zhou's performance.

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yasutaka Uchiyama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yi Zhou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yasutaka Uchiyama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Yi Zhou - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhou will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 221. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 308.

Recent form of Zhou has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uchiyama is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Uchiyama will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Harry Wendelken - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Max Schoenhaus - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
10.02.26	Yi Zhou - Tai Sach	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ilia Simakin - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Yi Zhou - Daniel Michalski	Michalski D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 L?LL?
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Fajing Sun - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Maximus Jones - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

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