Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - Final

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Rio Noguchi		Yasutaka Uchiyama

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.81
	2.02	1.7	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.03	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.09)	1.7 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
45.2%

Yasutaka Uchiyama
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uchiyama will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245. Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 308.

Noguchi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Uchiyama is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Uchiyama will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.13%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Yasutaka Uchiyama - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.87%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Liam Broady - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Li Tu - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWW?
- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hayato Matsuoka	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Fajing Sun - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Maximus Jones - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Zach Stephens - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi	2:1
10.01.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rio Noguchi	Uchiyama Y. retired

Rio Noguchi - Yasutaka Uchiyama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide