Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Sebastian Baez		David Goffin

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.46	Watch
	3.02	1.43
	2.64	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.38)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
34.3%

David Goffin
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting David Goffin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sebastian Baez - David Goffin Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Goffin will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 3 - 60%). Goffin (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Baez (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Goffin (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 45. Goffin is ranked ATP: 65.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Goffin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Goffin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.25	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Sebastian Baez - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jack Draper - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. retired ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
27.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLW?L
- David Goffin
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Mackenzie McDonald - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	David Goffin - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Martin Landaluce - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Rinky Hijikata - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
29.06.22	David Goffin - Sebastian Baez	3:0

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