Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Yibing Wu		Adam Walton

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.10	1.72
	2.07	1.76
	2.26	1.73
	1.95	1.79	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.11	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)	1.74 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
45%

Adam Walton
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yibing Wu's form might have worsened.

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adam Walton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yibing Wu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adam Walton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Yibing Wu - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: Adam Walton will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 113. Walton is ranked ATP: 93.

Wu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Walton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.37%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.26	Francisco Comesana - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Yibing Wu	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.26	Jaime Faria - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Yibing Wu - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?LWL
- Adam Walton
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	Adam Walton - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Adam Walton - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.26	Jaime Faria - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Adam Walton - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Adam Walton - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

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