Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	7	1.1	Watch
	5.25	1.12	Watch
	5.6	1.11	Watch
	5.68	1.15
			Watch
	5.5	1.12	Watch
	5.55	1.12	Watch
	5.8	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.77 ↑ (3.66)	1.12 ↓ (1.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
16.2%

Rei Sakamoto
83.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

74.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naoki Nakagawa's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Naoki Nakagawa - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nakagawa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sakamoto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 336. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 291.

Nakagawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sakamoto is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nakagawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sakamoto is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakagawa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
01.07.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Karue Sell	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Patrick Maloney - Naoki Nakagawa	Canceled ✺
30.05.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Alexis Galarneau - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Alexander Kotzen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 L?LWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Patrick Maloney - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0

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