Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - Final

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Yibing Wu		Stefan Dostanic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.32	3.59
	1.28	3.32	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	3.43 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
72.7%

Stefan Dostanic
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Stefan Dostanic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yibing Wu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefan Dostanic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yibing Wu - Stefan Dostanic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 115. Dostanic is ranked ATP: 333.

Wu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dostanic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wu is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Yibing Wu - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Yibing Wu - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Yibing Wu - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Yibing Wu - Reda Bennani	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
30.03.26	Alex Bolt - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Stefan Dostanic
ATP Challenger
11.04.26	Andres Andrade - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Stefan Dostanic	Basavareddy N. Retired ✺
08.04.26	Stefan Dostanic - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Stefan Dostanic - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
28.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 W?WWL

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