Match Info

Date: 29 August 2022, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.23	1.65
	2.16	1.7
	2.18	1.76
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.59)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
44.2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yoshihito Nishioka's performance.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yoshihito Nishioka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Davidovich Fokina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.6%	0%	14.4%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 139 users predict this event. Nishioka will win (votes: 119 - 85.6%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 20 - 14.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nishioka: 79.8% – 91.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nishioka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Challenger
16.08.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexis Galarneau	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Benoit Paire - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
07.08.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Nick Kyrgios	0:2 ✺
06.08.22	Andrey Rublev - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?LWLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Nick Kyrgios - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
22.07.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
20.07.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
18.07.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW

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