Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Andrey Rublev		Yoshihito Nishioka

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.6	Watch
	1.25	3.5	Watch
	1.27	4.05
	1.27	3.50	Watch
			Watch
	1.29	3.74	Watch
	1.28	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.28)	3.69 ↓ (3.82)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
74.3%

Yoshihito Nishioka
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Andrey Rublev - Yoshihito Nishioka Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andrey Rublev will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 14. Nishioka is ranked ATP: 157.

Rublev has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nishioka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rublev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rublev is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Rublev - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 74.95%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Andrey Rublev	2:3 ✺
28.08.25	Tristan Boyer - Andrey Rublev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWW
- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
31.10.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Madrid
30.04.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Washington
06.08.22	Andrey Rublev - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2
ATP Cup
03.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0
ATP Sydney
08.01.19	Yoshihito Nishioka - Andrey Rublev	2:0

Andrey Rublev - Yoshihito Nishioka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide