Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.55	1.52	Watch
	2.65	1.45
	2.67	1.53
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.12	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.35)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
34.8%

Alexander Bublik
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yoshihito Nishioka's form might have worsened.

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Bublik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	0%	85.2%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (46 of 54 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.72% – 94.66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nishioka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bublik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nishioka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Marseille
08.03.21	Emil Ruusuvuori - Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Singapore
26.02.21	Alexander Bublik - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
24.02.21	Maxime Cressy - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
22.02.21	Michael Mmoh - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.02.21	Yoshihito Nishioka - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?LWWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Doha
10.03.21	Alexander Bublik - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
08.03.21	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
04.03.21	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
03.03.21	Alexander Zverev - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Singapore
28.02.21	Alexander Bublik - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Singapore
26.02.21	Alexander Bublik - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0
ATP Shanghai
06.10.19	Alexander Bublik - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0
ATP Shenzhen
22.09.18	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alexander Bublik	2:0

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