Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	16:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	07:00	SportKlub
Croatia	07:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	07:00	Eurosport 2
Finland	08:00	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	07:00	Eurosport 2
Poland	07:00	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	06:00	Sport TV
Serbia	07:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	07:00	SportKlub
Sweden	07:00	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.38	1.58
	2.34	1.56
	2.35	1.67
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.61	Watch
	2.43	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.28)	1.59 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
39.8%

Denis Shapovalov
60.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Nishioka will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nishioka: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Nishioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shapovalov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nishioka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Seoul
01.10.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
30.09.22	Casper Ruud - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
29.09.22	Taro Daniel - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
27.09.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Seoul
01.10.22	Denis Shapovalov - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
29.09.22	Radu Albot - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
28.09.22	Jaume Munar - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.22	Denis Shapovalov - Andrey Rublev	2:3 ✺
01.09.22	Denis Shapovalov - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shenzhen
26.09.18	Yoshihito Nishioka - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

Yoshihito Nishioka - Denis Shapovalov