Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Casper Ruud		Yoshihito Nishioka

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.8
	1.43	2.73
	1.48	2.83
	1.5	2.6
	1.43	2.83	Watch
	1.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	2.79 ↓ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
65.8%

Yoshihito Nishioka
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Casper Ruud - Yoshihito Nishioka Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Nishioka will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nishioka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ruud will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ruud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Beijing
02.10.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
24.09.23	Casper Ruud - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled ✺
23.09.23	Casper Ruud - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWW?W
- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Daniel Altmaier - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Juncheng Shang - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
26.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Yoshihito Nishioka - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Seoul
30.09.22	Casper Ruud - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2
ATP Madrid
05.05.21	Casper Ruud - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0

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