Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.4
	2.75	1.4
	2.84	1.44
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.99	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.03)	1.4 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
33.2%

Ilya Ivashka
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yoshihito Nishioka's form might have worsened.

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilya Ivashka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yoshihito Nishioka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilya Ivashka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: Ilya Ivashka will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Nishioka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ivashka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nishioka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Antwerp
21.10.22	Sebastian Korda - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
19.10.22	Jaume Munar - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
18.10.22	Luca Van Assche - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
04.10.22	Miomir Kecmanovic - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:1 ✺
ATP Seoul
02.10.22	Yoshihito Nishioka - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Stockholm
17.10.22	Ilya Ivashka - Maxime Cressy	1:2 ✺
ATP Gijon
13.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Ilya Ivashka - Feliciano Lopez	2:1 ✺
ATP Sofia
30.09.22	Ilya Ivashka - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
28.09.22	Grigor Dimitrov - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
04.08.19	Yoshihito Nishioka - Ilya Ivashka	0:2

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