Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DELRAY BEACH (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 February 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.68	Watch
	2.24	1.72
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.54)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
43%

Matteo Arnaldi
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yoshihito Nishioka's performance.

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yoshihito Nishioka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	0%	56.2%

Yoshihito Nishioka - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nishioka will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Dallas
08.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - Yoshihito Nishioka	Mannarino A. walkover ✺
06.02.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Yoshihito Nishioka	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
03.02.24	Benjamin Hassan - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
02.02.24	Hady Habib - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Yoshihito Nishioka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ??WWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Arnaldi	3:0 ✺
13.01.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Adam Walton	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
09.01.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
08.01.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
08.01.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Marton Fucsovics	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLW?

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