Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.30	3.29	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)	2.65 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
64.7%

Mitchell Krueger
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitchell Krueger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Yosuke Watanuki - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Watanuki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 159. Krueger is ranked ATP: 206.

Watanuki has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Krueger is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Watanuki could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Watanuki will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Watanuki won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Yosuke Watanuki - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.59%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Mitchell Krueger - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWW
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
31.07.22	Mitchell Krueger - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2

Yosuke Watanuki - Mitchell Krueger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide