Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Yosuke Watanuki		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.9
	1.82	2.04
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.28)	1.91 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yosuke Watanuki
51.3%

Hugo Grenier
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yosuke Watanuki's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yosuke Watanuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Yosuke Watanuki - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Watanuki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Grenier will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watanuki: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Watanuki (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 24 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watanuki is ranked ATP: 182. Grenier is ranked ATP: 177.

Watanuki has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Grenier is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Watanuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Grenier will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Kaylan Bigun	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Kokoro Isomura - Yosuke Watanuki	Watanuki Y. retired ✺
07.10.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WW?LL
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Igor Marcondes - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Hikaru Shiraishi - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWW

Yosuke Watanuki - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide