Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTIN (USA), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Yue Yuan		Anna Karolina Schmiedlova

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.42	2.9
	1.44	3.04
	1.44	2.75
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.67)	2.84 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yue Yuan
66.5%

Anna Karolina Schmiedlova
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yue Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yue Yuan's performance.

Anna Karolina Schmiedlova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anna Karolina Schmiedlova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yue Yuan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Karolina Schmiedlova than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anna Karolina Schmiedlova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Yue Yuan - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova Predictions

Users Predictions: Yue Yuan will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Yuan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Schmiedlova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schmiedlova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Yuan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yue Yuan
WTA Austin
01.03.24	Yue Yuan - Yafan Wang	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Yue Yuan - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Yue Yuan - Arina Rodionova	2:1 ✺
WTA Doha
10.02.24	Yue Yuan - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Yue Yuan - Saisai Zheng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW
- Anna Karolina Schmiedlova
WTA Austin
01.03.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Anastasija Sevastova	Sevastova A. retired ✺
29.02.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Sachia Vickery	2:1 ✺
27.02.24	Peyton Stearns - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.02.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Sachia Vickery	0:2 ✺
WTA Hua Hin
01.02.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Yafan Wang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 ?WWLL

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