Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Yuta Kikuchi		Kousuke Ogura

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.60
	2.20	1.58	Watch
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Kikuchi
42.7%

Kousuke Ogura
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Kikuchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Kikuchi than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Yuta Kikuchi - Kousuke Ogura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kikuchi is ranked ATP: 950., and Ogura is ranked ATP: 817..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Kikuchi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ogura holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Kikuchi has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Kikuchi
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Tsung-Hao Huang - Yuta Kikuchi	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Mikalai Haliak - Yuta Kikuchi	Haliak M. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Yunseong Chung - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Sena Okabe - Yuta Kikuchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LW?LW
- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Kousuke Ogura - Dong Ju Kim	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Kousuke Ogura - Minghui Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Alexandr Binda - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Daisuke Sumizawa - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.08.26	Kousuke Ogura - Yuta Kikuchi	Kikuchi Y. Retired

Yuta Kikuchi - Kousuke Ogura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide