Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday


	Yuta Shimizu		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.61	2.19	Watch
	1.68	2.21
	1.6	2.25
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.14	Watch
	1.61	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.85)	2.2 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
57.5%

Alex Bolt
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuta Shimizu's performance.

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Bolt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuta Shimizu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yuta Shimizu - Alex Bolt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 215. Bolt is ranked ATP: 160.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shimizu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Yuta Shimizu - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.95%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
12.11.24	Mattia Bellucci - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Rinky Hijikata - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Ajeet Rai - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
30.10.24	Blake Mott - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Jacob Bradshaw - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW
- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
14.11.24	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Hiroki Moriya - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Alex Bolt - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
08.11.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
07.11.24	Alex Bolt - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	2:0
05.02.24	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	0:2
07.06.23	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	0:2
ITF Tournaments
17.03.23	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	2:0
12.02.23	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	0:2

Yuta Shimizu - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide