Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PUERTO VALLARTA (MEXICO), HARD - FINAL

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Yuta Shimizu		Benoit Paire

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.94	1.86
	1.96	1.72
	2.04	1.81
	1.83	1.83
	1.97	1.79	Watch
	2.02	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.63)	1.79 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
47.7%

Benoit Paire
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuta Shimizu's form might have worsened.

Benoit Paire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benoit Paire's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benoit Paire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Yuta Shimizu - Benoit Paire Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Paire will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paire: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Shimizu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
11.03.23	Yuta Shimizu - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
10.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	Alexis Galarneau - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Yuta Shimizu - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
27.02.23	Aziz Dougaz - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWWL
- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
11.03.23	Illya Marchenko - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Benoit Paire - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Benoit Paire - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
06.03.23	Benoit Paire - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Borna Gojo - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

Yuta Shimizu - Benoit Paire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide