Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 January 2024, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Yuta Shimizu		Francisco Comesana

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.68
	2.22	1.69
	2.2	1.62
	2.19	1.66	Watch
	2.22	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.86)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
43.4%

Francisco Comesana
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuta Shimizu's form might have worsened.

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francisco Comesana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francisco Comesana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Yuta Shimizu - Francisco Comesana Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Comesana will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comesana: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Comesana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Comesana will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
01.01.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Yuta Shimizu	Canceled ✺
28.11.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Yuta Shimizu - Yasutaka Uchiyama	Shimizu Y. walkover ✺
23.11.23	Yuta Shimizu - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?LL?W
- Francisco Comesana
ATP Brisbane
30.12.23	Li Tu - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Francisco Comesana	Lavagno E. retired ✺
11.11.23	Francisco Comesana - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
10.11.23	Francisco Comesana - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Francisco Comesana - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 L?LWW

Yuta Shimizu - Francisco Comesana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide