Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Yuta Shimizu		Michael Mmoh

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.5	1.46	Watch
	2.63	1.54
	2.61	1.43	Watch
	2.6	1.49	Watch
	2.53	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.19)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
36.5%

Michael Mmoh
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuta Shimizu's form might have worsened.

Michael Mmoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Mmoh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Mmoh than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Yuta Shimizu - Michael Mmoh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 356. Mmoh is ranked ATP: 192.

Shimizu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mmoh is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mmoh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Yuta Shimizu - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Yuta Shimizu - Trevor Svajda	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Yuta Shimizu - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Andre Ilagan - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Murphy Cassone - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Yuta Shimizu - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Michael Mmoh
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Vilius Gaubas - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
ATP London
13.06.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Michael Mmoh - Filippo Romano	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Colton Smith - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
30.05.26	Michael Mmoh - Justin Boulais	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Yuta Shimizu - Michael Mmoh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide