Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tyler, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 5 June 2026, Friday
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Andre Ilagan |
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Yuta Shimizu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.70 |
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2.05 |
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 |
1.75 |
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2.00 |
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 |
1.76 |
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2.17 |
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 |
1.7 |
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2.02 |
 Watch |
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1.73 |
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2.00 |
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1.69 |
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2.02 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.82) |
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2.04 ↑
(1.87) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Andre Ilagan
54.3% | Yuta Shimizu
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andre Ilagan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Andre Ilagan will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Ilagan is ranked ATP: 335. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 363.Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ilagan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.
Yuta Shimizu - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.32%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 30.03.26 | Yuta Shimizu - Andre Ilagan | 0:2 | | ITF Tournaments | | | 29.07.22 | Andre Ilagan - Yuta Shimizu | 1:2 |
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