Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tyler, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday


	Yuta Shimizu		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	2.07	1.67
	2.16	1.75
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.11)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
44.5%

Dane Sweeny
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Yuta Shimizu - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Sweeny will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 363. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 131.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
27.05.26	Yuta Shimizu - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Evan Zhu - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Yusuke Takahashi - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Dane Sweeny - Enzo Aguiard	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Jay Clarke - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Mark Lajal - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Andre Ilagan - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Rigele Te - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW

Yuta Shimizu - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide