Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Zachary Svajda		Eliot Spizzirri

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.72
			Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.7	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.84)	2.5 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
62.1%

Eliot Spizzirri
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zachary Svajda's performance.

Eliot Spizzirri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eliot Spizzirri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zachary Svajda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eliot Spizzirri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zachary Svajda - Eliot Spizzirri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svajda is ranked ATP: 229. Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 128.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Svajda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Svajda might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Svajda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Eliot Spizzirri - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Zachary Svajda - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Brandon Holt - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Marton Fucsovics - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Zachary Svajda - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Aidan Mayo - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Evan Zhu - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alex Bolt	1:2 ✺
23.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.11.21	Eliot Spizzirri - Zachary Svajda	0:2

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