Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Eliot Spizzirri		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.65	2.15
			Watch
	1.69	2.2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.86)	2.18 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliot Spizzirri
56.7%

Alejandro Moro Canas
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliot Spizzirri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eliot Spizzirri's performance.

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliot Spizzirri than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eliot Spizzirri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Eliot Spizzirri - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Spizzirri will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eliot Spizzirri will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Spizzirri is ranked ATP: 118. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 214.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Spizzirri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Eliot Spizzirri - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.31%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.69%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliot Spizzirri
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
07.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Nishesh Basavareddy	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWL?
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Taro Daniel - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW

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