Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Zachary Svajda		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.74	Watch
	2.2	1.74
	2.12	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.32	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.22)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zachary Svajda
43.7%

Marin Cilic
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Zachary Svajda - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Svajda will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cilic will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svajda: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Svajda (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cilic (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svajda is ranked ATP: 99. Cilic is ranked ATP: 51.

Svajda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cilic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Svajda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Svajda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zachary Svajda
ATP Acapulco
22.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Sho Shimabukuro	Svajda Z. retired ✺
21.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
19.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WLWW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
14.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Ethan Quinn - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Marin Cilic - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	0:2
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.24	Marin Cilic - Zachary Svajda	2:1

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