Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Changsha, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	Zarina Diyas		Carol Zhao

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.18
	1.61	2.17
	1.64	2.29
	1.67	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.7	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	2.16 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zarina Diyas
56.5%

Carol Zhao
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zarina Diyas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zarina Diyas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Zarina Diyas - Carol Zhao Predictions

Users Predictions: Carol Zhao will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diyas is ranked WTA: 242. Zhao is ranked WTA: 250.

Recent performances by Diyas have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhao's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Diyas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zarina Diyas
ITF Tournaments
26.07.25	Zarina Diyas - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Francisca Jorge - Zarina Diyas	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Zarina Diyas - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Zarina Diyas - Diana Marcinkevica	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Zarina Diyas - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL
- Carol Zhao
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Carol Zhao - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Carol Zhao	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
06.08.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Carol Zhao	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
26.07.25	Elsa Jacquemot - Carol Zhao	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Carol Zhao - Janice Tjen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLL

Zarina Diyas - Carol Zhao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide