Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario (Argentina) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday


	Daniel Vallejo		Joel Schwaerzler

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.58	2.23
	1.72	2.04
	1.61	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)	2.22 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
58%

Joel Schwaerzler
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Joel Schwaerzler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joel Schwaerzler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Daniel Vallejo - Joel Schwaerzler Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vallejo will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vallejo: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 210. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 320.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Schwaerzler could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Daniel Vallejo - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
20.01.25	Daniel Vallejo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Daniel Vallejo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
17.01.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW
- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Hernan Casanova - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
27.01.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Leonardo Aboian	2:1 ✺
20.01.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

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