Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Zdenek Kolar		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.15	Watch
	1.35	3.26
	1.43	2.66	Watch
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.32	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)	3.14 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
70.1%

Miguel Damas
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zdenek Kolar's performance.

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zdenek Kolar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Zdenek Kolar - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Kolar will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Damas will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damas: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolar (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Damas (votes: 8 - 61.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Damas (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Kolar (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Damas (votes: 9 - 64.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kolar is ranked ATP: 222. Damas is ranked ATP: 329.

Kolar has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Damas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kolar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kolar is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kolar will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Zdenek Kolar - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.5%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Miguel Damas - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Miguel Damas - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Miguel Damas - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW

Zdenek Kolar - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide