Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montemar, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Miguel Damas		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.58	1.52
	2.43	1.49	Watch
			Watch
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.65)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Damas
36.5%

Lorenzo Giustino
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Damas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Miguel Damas - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Damas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Giustino (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Giustino (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Damas (votes: 1 - 25%). Giustino (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damas is ranked ATP: 329. Giustino is ranked ATP: 220.

Now, both players are in good form.

Damas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Giustino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Giustino will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Damas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Miguel Damas - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.89%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.11%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Pedro Rodenas - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Miguel Damas - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Miguel Damas - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Miguel Damas - Toprak Avcibasi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Filippo Moroni - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Patrick Kypson - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Petr Brunclik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.08.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:0
17.05.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Miguel Damas	2:1

Miguel Damas - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide