Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marseille (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
			Watch
	3.8	1.26	Watch
			Watch
	4.07	1.28
			Watch
	4.2	1.22	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (3.35)	1.25 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
23.8%

Hubert Hurkacz
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hubert Hurkacz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Zhizhen Zhang - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 52. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 20.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Hurkacz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hurkacz is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Zhang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
04.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
31.01.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Petar Jovanovic	Canceled ✺
30.01.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Aleksa Krivokapic	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WL?WL
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Hubert Hurkacz	Lehecka J. retired ✺
03.02.25	Flavio Cobolli - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP United Cup
02.01.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0
ATP Tokyo
17.10.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
ATP Shanghai
10.10.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1

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