Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.06	1.74	Watch
	2.17	1.77
	2.11	1.76	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.9)	1.73 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
45%

Mattia Bellucci
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Bellucci will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 48. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 108.

Recent matches Zhang is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bellucci is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zhang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Jack Draper	Zhang Z. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Tomas Machac - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?LWL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Hangzhou
19.09.24	Aslan Karatsev - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Christopher OConnell	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
22.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
20.03.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Mattia Bellucci	2:0

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