Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday


	Zhizhen Zhang		Yi Zhou

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2.02	1.75	Watch
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.75
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2.00	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.84)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
46.2%

Yi Zhou
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yi Zhou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zhizhen Zhang - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhang (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang is ranked ATP: 170., and Zhou is ranked ATP: 280..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Zhou may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Yi Zhou - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLL?
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
19.10.26	Koki Matsuda - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Yi Zhou - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Yi Zhou - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
22.10.26	Yi Zhou - Andre Ilagan	✺

Zhizhen Zhang - Yi Zhou: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide