Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2


	Mattia Bellucci		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.26	3.70
	1.25	4.00	Watch
	1.27	3.64	Watch
	1.28	3.85
	1.29	3.77	Watch
	1.28	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	3.8 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
74.9%

Yi Zhou
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Yi Zhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yi Zhou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mattia Bellucci - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zhou will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 86., and Zhou is ranked ATP: 277..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Zhou could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bellucci carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Yanki Erel - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Bernard Tomic - Mattia Bellucci	Bellucci M. win ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLW?
- Yi Zhou
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Yi Zhou - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Jie Cui - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Sergey Fomin - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWW

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