Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 3
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 2, Max Sport 3
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Mexico	ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	ESPN 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Yi Zhou		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.50	1.19
	4.35	1.2
	4.49	1.21	Watch
	4.5	1.22
	4.54	1.21	Watch
	4.35	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (5.2)	1.2 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yi Zhou
21.3%

Lorenzo Musetti
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

81.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Yi Zhou - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhou is ranked ATP: 277., and Musetti is ranked ATP: 25..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Musetti could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Musetti is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yi Zhou
ATP Shanghai
07.10.26	Mattia Bellucci - Yi Zhou	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Yi Zhou - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Jie Cui - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Arthur Fery	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Dane Sweeny - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
01.09.26	Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
21.08.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
19.08.26	Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ?LWLW

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