Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 San Gregorio di Catania 2, clay - Final

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Ziga Sesko		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
	2.27	1.6
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ziga Sesko
40.5%

Gianmarco Ferrari
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ziga Sesko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ziga Sesko than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ziga Sesko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gianmarco Ferrari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ziga Sesko - Gianmarco Ferrari Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Ferrari (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrari (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sesko is ranked ATP: 1156. Ferrari is ranked ATP: 560.

Sesko is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ferrari is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sesko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ferrari is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Ferrari will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ziga Sesko
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Ziga Sesko - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Ziga Sesko	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Ziga Sesko - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Ziga Sesko - Giovanni Conigliaro	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Sandro Kopp - Ziga Sesko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWWL
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Sebastiano Cocola - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Alessandro Battiston - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Lorenzo Bocchi - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Lorenzo Ferri - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Federico Bondioli - Gianmarco Ferrari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

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