Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Zizou Bergs		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.89	2.05
	1.93	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.82	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.78)	1.96 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zizou Bergs
51.1%

Marin Cilic
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	0%	26.7%

Zizou Bergs - Marin Cilic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Zizou Bergs will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bergs is ranked ATP: 44. Cilic is ranked ATP: 51.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bergs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bergs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zizou Bergs
ATP Munich
15.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Marin Cilic - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Marin Cilic - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Marin Cilic - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Marin Cilic - Zizou Bergs	1:2

Zizou Bergs - Marin Cilic