Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Zsombor Piros		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.86)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zsombor Piros
42.4%

Ignacio Buse
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zsombor Piros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zsombor Piros's form might have worsened.

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Buse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zsombor Piros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Zsombor Piros - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Piros will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Buse will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Piros: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zsombor Piros will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Piros is ranked ATP: 262. Buse is ranked ATP: 215.

Piros is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Buse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Piros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Zsombor Piros - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.96%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Ignacio Buse - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.04%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Jan Choinski - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Andrea Vavassori	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Zsombor Piros - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Zsombor Piros - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Miguel Damas - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Daniel Rincon - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Noah Regas Luis	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL

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