Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Ignacio Buse		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.33	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.69	1.45	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	2.5	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	1.38 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
32.4%

Marin Cilic
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 215. Cilic is ranked ATP: 118.

Recent matches Buse is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cilic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Buse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cilic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cilic to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Buse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
05.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Daniel Rincon - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Ignacio Buse - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWL
- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Marin Cilic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Marin Cilic - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	2:0

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